Will the IDF fully withdraw from Gaza by EOY 2026?

Platform Comparison

Manifold

Will the IDF fully withdraw from Gaza by EOY 2026?…

7.79%

12.79%

AI YES

Edge pts

Confidence

$27K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Platform Comparison

Platform	Market YES	AI YES	Edge	Confidence	Volume
Manifold Will the IDF fully withdraw from Gaza by EOY 2026?…	7.79%	12.79%	+5	60	$27K	Detail Trade →

Odds by Platform

Manifold

YES 7.79% NO 92.21%

⚡ AI Market Analysis

1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
2 The probabilities suggest a consensus against a full withdrawal by 2026.
3 Historical context shows prolonged military engagements often extend beyond initial timelines.
4 Market liquidity appears stable, indicating consistent participant interest.
5 Time to expiry allows for potential geopolitical shifts influencing the outcome.

AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Event Info

Category Geopolitics

Platforms 1 platform

Markets 1 market

Markets on this Event