Events › Politics › Will the Republicans win the Michigan governo…
Politics 2 platforms 3 markets

Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?

Combined AI YES
57.8%
Avg Confidence
68/100
Combined Volume
$211K
Platform Comparison
Polymarket
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?…
20.50%
19.00%
AI YES
-1.5
Edge pts
75
Confidence
$133K
Volume
Polymarket
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?…
82.00%
78.00%
AI YES
-4
Edge pts
75
Confidence
$77K
Volume
Manifold
Will a Republican win the Florida governorship in 2026?…
90.20%
83.20%
AI YES
-7
Edge pts
55
Confidence
$1K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Polymarket
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in …
 20.50% 19.00% -1.5
75
$133K
Polymarket
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026…
near 		82.00% 78.00% -4
75
$77K
Manifold
Will a Republican win the Florida governorship in 2026?…
near 		90.20% 83.20% -7
55
$1K
Odds by Platform
Polymarket
YES 20.50% NO 79.50%
Polymarket
YES 82.00% NO 18.00%
Manifold
YES 90.20% NO 9.80%
Spread: 69.7 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a Democratic win.
  • 2 Republicans have a low historical success rate in Michigan governor races.
  • 3 Market probabilities are closely aligned with Pulse AI predictions.
  • 4 The edge indicates the market is fairly priced with minimal mispricing.
  • 5 Confidence level suggests moderate certainty in the current predictions.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Politics
Platforms 2 platforms
Markets 3 markets
Markets on this Event
Polymarket 20.50%
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?…
Polymarket 82.00%
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?…
Manifold 90.20%
Will a Republican win the Florida governorship in 2026?…
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