Markets / Politics / Will a Republican win the Florida governorship in 2026?...
Manifold Politics Expires in 160 days OPEN

Will a Republican win the Florida governorship in 2026?

90.2%
Market YES
9.8%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
YES
Verdict
83.2%
AI YES
55
Confidence
45
Reliability
NO side may be undervalued Edge: -7 pts

A Republican is highly favored to win the Florida governorship in 2026.

The market indicates a strong probability of 90.20% for a Republican victory in the Florida governorship race in 2026. This aligns with the Pulse AI probability of 83.2%, suggesting a consensus on Republican strength, although the NO side appears undervalued by 7 points. The confidence level is moderate at 55/100, indicating some uncertainty in this prediction.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current sentiment strongly favors a Republican win.
  • 2 Market probability shows a significant Republican advantage.
  • 3 The NO side is perceived as undervalued by 7 points.
  • 4 Confidence in the prediction is moderate at 55/100.
  • 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 5550 hours, allowing for potential shifts.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Major shifts in voter sentiment or demographics in Florida
Unexpected developments in the Republican primary candidates
Significant political events or scandals affecting the Republican party
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $1,153
Liquidity $0
Resolves 03 Nov 2026
Status Open
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