Events › Geopolitics › Will the United States lose the war against I…
Geopolitics 1 platform 1 market

Will the United States lose the war against Iran?

Combined AI YES
51.9%
Avg Confidence
40/100
Combined Volume
$1K
Platform Comparison
Manifold
Will the United States lose the war against Iran?…
61.00%
51.92%
AI YES
-11
Edge pts
40
Confidence
—
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Manifold
Will the United States lose the war against Iran?…
 61.00% 51.92% -11
40
—
Odds by Platform
Manifold
YES 61.00% NO 39.00%
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards a U.S. loss.
  • 2 The Pulse AI probability suggests a more balanced view.
  • 3 Confidence in the market is low, indicating uncertainty.
  • 4 The time to expiry is extensive, allowing for many developments.
  • 5 Market edge is negative, reflecting insufficient data for clarity.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Geopolitics
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 1 market
Markets on this Event
Manifold 61.00%
Will the United States lose the war against Iran?…
Related Events
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets in March 2026?…
345 markets
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)…
228 markets
Games Total: O/U 2.5…
223 markets
Will Andrew Tate post 520-549 posts from March 3 to March 10…
119 markets
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on March 23?…
99 markets