Events › Business & Finance › Will the US enter a recession (2 consecutive …
Business & Finance 1 platform 1 market

Will the US enter a recession (2 consecutive quarters of GDP decline) by end of 2026?

Combined AI YES
30%
Avg Confidence
55/100
Combined Volume
$0K
Platform Comparison
Manifold
Will the US enter a recession (2 consecutive quarters of GDP…
32.33%
29.97%
AI YES
+5.5
Edge pts
55
Confidence
—
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Manifold
Will the US enter a recession (2 consecutive quarters o…
 32.33% 29.97% +5.5
55
—
Odds by Platform
Manifold
YES 32.33% NO 67.67%
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment favors economic stability over recession.
  • 2 The probability of recession has a notable gap between market and AI predictions.
  • 3 Historical trends show recessions are often preceded by clear economic signals.
  • 4 Liquidity in this market is currently moderate, affecting confidence levels.
  • 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in economic conditions.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Business & Finance
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 1 market
Markets on this Event
Manifold 32.33%
Will the US enter a recession (2 consecutive quarters of GDP…
Related Events
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in February?…
36 markets
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?…
30 markets
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0…
15 markets
Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’…
15 markets
Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of th…
14 markets