Will there be a ceasefire announced between US/Israel and Iran between 11th and 15th March 2026?

Combined AI YES

12.4%

Avg Confidence

55/100

Combined Volume

$14K

Platform Comparison

Manifold

Will there be a ceasefire announced between US/Israel and Ir…

1.09%

12.38%

AI YES

Edge pts

Confidence

$14K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Platform Comparison

Platform	Market YES	AI YES	Edge	Confidence	Volume
Manifold Will there be a ceasefire announced between US/Israel a…	1.09%	12.38%	+5	55	$14K	Detail Trade →

Odds by Platform

Manifold

YES 1.09% NO 98.91%

⚡ AI Market Analysis

1 Market probability strongly favors a 'NO' outcome at 92.62%.
2 Pulse AI shows a slightly more optimistic view with 12.38% for 'YES'.
3 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100, indicating some uncertainty.
4 Time to expiry is short at 58 hours, adding urgency to market dynamics.
5 Current geopolitical climate heavily influences sentiment against a ceasefire.

AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Event Info

Category Geopolitics

Platforms 1 platform

Markets 1 market

Markets on this Event