Will there be a ceasefire announced between US/Israel and Iran between 11th and 15th March 2026?

Low probability of a ceasefire between US/Israel and Iran from March 11-15, 2026.

The prediction market indicates a strong likelihood against a ceasefire being announced, with a 92.62% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI model suggests a slightly higher probability for a ceasefire at 12.38%, but overall sentiment remains skeptical, reflecting geopolitical tensions in the region.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors a 'NO' outcome at 92.62%.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slightly more optimistic view with 12.38% for 'YES'.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 58 hours, adding urgency to market dynamics.
• 5 Current geopolitical climate heavily influences sentiment against a ceasefire.