Will Tim Cook cease to be CEO of Apple before the end of 2026?

Platform Comparison

Manifold

Will Tim Cook cease to be CEO of Apple before the end of 202…

25.00%

22.25%

AI YES

+4.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$4K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Manifold

Will Tim Cook cease to be CEO of Apple before 2030?…

97.68%

92.68%

AI YES

-5

Edge pts

Confidence

$1K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Manifold

Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end o…

7.72%

12.22%

AI YES

+4.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$1K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Manifold

Will Sam Altman cease to be CEO of OpenAI before the end of …

8.73%

13.23%

AI YES

+4.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$1K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Platform Comparison

Platform	Market YES	AI YES	Edge	Confidence	Volume
Manifold Will Tim Cook cease to be CEO of Apple before the end o…	25.00%	22.25%	+4.5	60	$4K	Detail Trade →
Manifold Will Tim Cook cease to be CEO of Apple before 2030?… near	97.68%	92.68%	-5	50	$1K	Detail Trade →
Manifold Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the … near	7.72%	12.22%	+4.5	60	$1K	Detail Trade →
Manifold Will Sam Altman cease to be CEO of OpenAI before the en… near	8.73%	13.23%	+4.5	60	$1K	Detail Trade →

Odds by Platform

Manifold

YES 25.00% NO 75.00%

Manifold

YES 97.68% NO 2.32%

Manifold

YES 7.72% NO 92.28%

Manifold

YES 8.73% NO 91.27%

Spread: 90 pts — platforms disagree significantly.

⚡ AI Market Analysis

1 Current market probability favors Tim Cook staying CEO until 2026.
2 The Pulse AI shows a slightly higher probability for him leaving.
3 Market confidence is moderate at 60/100.
4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
5 The edge indicates the market is fairly priced with minimal arbitrage opportunities.