Markets / AI & Tech / Will Tim Cook cease to be CEO of Apple before 2030?...
Manifold AI & Tech Expires in 1316 days OPEN

Will Tim Cook cease to be CEO of Apple before 2030?

97.68%
Market YES
2.32%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
YES
Verdict
92.68%
AI YES
50
Confidence
45
Reliability
Market appears fairly priced Edge: -5 pts

High probability suggests Tim Cook may leave Apple before 2030.

The market shows a strong consensus that Tim Cook will cease to be CEO of Apple before 2030, with a probability of 97.68%. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 92.68%, indicating a high level of confidence in this outcome. The edge of -5 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting balanced sentiment among participants.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly in favor of Cook leaving by 2030.
  • 2 The high probabilities indicate strong confidence among market participants.
  • 3 Historical trends in CEO tenure may influence perceptions of Cook's future.
  • 4 Liquidity appears stable, allowing for consistent trading activity.
  • 5 Time to expiry is substantial, providing ample opportunity for market shifts.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Announcement of Tim Cook's retirement plans
Significant changes in Apple's leadership structure
Major shifts in Apple's business strategy or performance
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $1,392
Liquidity $0
Resolves 01 Jan 2030
Status Open
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