Will Trump be impeached by June 30? — PredictionPulse Event

Platform Comparison

Polymarket

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?…

4.50%

9.00%

AI YES

+4.5

Edge pts

Confidence

$104K

Volume

Detail Trade →

Manifold

Will Trump be impeached before Jan 20th 2029…

63.72%

55.16%

AI YES

-9

Edge pts

Confidence

—

Volume

Detail Trade →

Platform Comparison

Platform	Market YES	AI YES	Edge	Confidence	Volume
Polymarket Will Trump be impeached by June 30?…	4.50%	9.00%	+4.5	65	$104K	Detail Trade →
Manifold Will Trump be impeached before Jan 20th 2029… near	63.72%	55.16%	-9	45	—	Detail Trade →

Odds by Platform

Polymarket

YES 4.50% NO 95.50%

Manifold

YES 63.72% NO 36.28%

Spread: 59.2 pts — platforms disagree significantly.

⚡ AI Market Analysis

1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against impeachment.
2 The probability of 4.5% suggests the market is fairly priced.
3 Pulse AI probability is slightly higher at 9%, indicating some uncertainty.
4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential political developments.
5 Confidence level of 65/100 reflects moderate certainty in current predictions.