Event Intelligence

🗳️ Politics 24 markets

Will Jeff Criswell win the GA-14 special election?

4.2%

Avg YES

Polymarket $255K

🗳️ Politics 24 markets

Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 3+ times during events with Japanese PM?

41.7%

Avg YES

Polymarket $233K

🗳️ Politics 24 markets

Will Trump say "ID" or "Identification" during Memphis Roundtable?

42.9%

Avg YES

Polymarket $89K

🗳️ Politics 24 markets

Will Melania say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?

25.6%

Avg YES

Polymarket $117K

🗳️ Politics 23 markets

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

3.9%

Avg YES

Manifold, Polymarket $13.3M

🗳️ Politics 23 markets

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

4.5%

Avg YES

Polymarket $8M

🗳️ Politics 23 markets

Will Trump say "Most Favored Nation" during Ohio visit?

0%

Avg YES

Polymarket $254K

🗳️ Politics 23 markets

Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during Kentucky visit?

45.5%

Avg YES

Polymarket $172K

🗳️ Politics 23 markets

Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?

60.9%

Avg YES

Polymarket $278K

🗳️ Politics 23 markets

Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

4.2%

Avg YES

Polymarket $1.8M

🗳️ Politics 22 markets

Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

5.1%

Avg YES

Polymarket $18.5M

🗳️ Politics 22 markets

Will Red–Green Alliance win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

9.2%

Avg YES

Polymarket $7.3M

🗳️ Politics 22 markets

Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" during Miami address?

27.3%

Avg YES

Polymarket $244K

🗳️ Politics 22 markets

Will the DHS shutdown end between March 4-7, 2026?

4.5%

Avg YES

Polymarket $9.1M

🗳️ Politics 22 markets

Will Trump say "Karoline Leavitt" during Women's History Month event?

36.4%

Avg YES

Polymarket $328K

🗳️ Politics 22 markets

Will Trump say "Cuba" during the FII PRIORITY Summit?

77.3%

Avg YES

Polymarket $152K

🗳️ Politics 21 markets

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

17.3%

Avg YES

Polymarket, Manifold $45.5M

🗳️ Politics 20 markets

Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

4.8%

Avg YES

Polymarket $4.1M

🗳️ Politics 20 markets

Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

7.2%

Avg YES

Polymarket $2.9M

🗳️ Politics 19 markets

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

4.3%

Avg YES

Polymarket $135.2M

🗳️ Politics 19 markets

Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

11.2%

Avg YES

Polymarket, Manifold $6.7M

🗳️ Politics 19 markets

Will Palestine join the Board of Peace?

16.7%

Avg YES

Polymarket $2.9M

🗳️ Politics 17 markets

Will Trump say "Biden" during trophy presentation?

41.2%

Avg YES

Polymarket $144K

🗳️ Politics 15 markets

Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?

12.6%

Avg YES

Polymarket $9.5M