| Platform | Market YES | AI YES | Edge | Confidence | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?…
|
7.50% | 11.50% | +3 |
|
$2.3M | |
|
Polymarket
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?…
near
|
3.65% | 7.05% | +3 |
|
$1.7M | |
|
Manifold
Will Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [High Li…
near
|
3.79% | 9.79% | +6 |
|
$1.4M | |
|
Polymarket
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?…
near
|
3.30% | 5.75% | +3 |
|
$943K | |
|
Polymarket
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?…
near
|
1.75% | 4.35% | +3 |
|
$769K | |
|
Polymarket
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2…
near
|
1.80% | 4.20% | +3 |
|
$573K | |
|
Polymarket
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?…
near
|
1.45% | 3.80% | +3 |
|
$571K | |
|
Polymarket
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?…
near
|
2.05% | 6.75% | +3 |
|
$555K | |
|
Polymarket
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?…
near
|
1.95% | 4.70% | +3 |
|
$525K | |
|
Polymarket
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel P…
near
|
4.15% | 7.70% | +3 |
|
$519K | |
|
Polymarket
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?…
near
|
4.55% | 8.60% | +3 |
|
$502K | |
|
Polymarket
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?…
near
|
0.90% | 3.55% | +3 |
|
$499K | |
|
Polymarket
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in…
near
|
1.55% | 3.85% | +3 |
|
$407K | |
|
Polymarket
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2…
near
|
9.25% | 14.70% | +3 |
|
$404K | |
|
Polymarket
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize…
near
|
3.55% | 10.80% | +3 |
|
$367K | |
|
Polymarket
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?…
near
|
1.70% | 4.45% | +3 |
|
$339K | |
|
Polymarket
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 20…
near
|
0.70% | 3.70% | +3 |
|
$319K | |
|
Polymarket
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?…
near
|
2.55% | 5.20% | +3 |
|
$294K | |
|
Polymarket
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?…
near
|
1.45% | 3.75% | +3 |
|
$205K | |
|
Polymarket
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 202…
near
|
1.85% | 3.70% | +3 |
|
$143K | |
|
Polymarket
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?…
near
|
10.50% | 12.50% | +3 |
|
$81K | |
|
Manifold
Does Trump receive Ig Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?…
near
|
9.96% | 17.96% | +8 |
|
— | |
|
Manifold
Will Baron Trump join the US army in 2026?…
near
|
10.35% | 24.58% | +8 |
|
— |