A nuclear weapon is used in any conflict before January 1, 2029

Market shows low probability for nuclear weapon use before 2029.

The market indicates a 23.18% chance of a nuclear weapon being used in any conflict by January 1, 2029, with a stronger consensus against it at 76.82%. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 30.18%, reflecting some uncertainty in the geopolitical landscape.

• 1 Current sentiment leans heavily towards no nuclear use by 2029.
• 2 The market probability indicates a cautious outlook on global stability.
• 3 Historical data shows low frequency of nuclear weapon use in conflicts.
• 4 Liquidity appears moderate, reflecting some interest but also caution.
• 5 Time pressure is significant with 24426 hours until market expiry.