At least 20 pardoned Jan 6 rioters involved in politically motivated violence by end of 2026

Market shows a slight lean towards pardons for Jan 6 rioters by 2026.

The prediction market indicates a 56.60% probability that at least 20 pardoned Jan 6 rioters will be involved in politically motivated violence by the end of 2026. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 53.6%, suggesting a consensus on the uncertainty surrounding this issue. The market is considered fairly priced with a confidence level of 55 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans towards a YES outcome.
• 2 The probabilities are closely aligned between market and AI predictions.
• 3 The edge of -3 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level suggests moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential developments.