By 2026, will crude steel production outside China be at least 8% higher than in 2024?

Crude steel production outside China is uncertain, with a near-even split in market predictions.

The prediction market shows a nearly balanced probability for crude steel production outside China being at least 8% higher by 2026 compared to 2024. With a market probability of 49.76% for 'YES' and 50.24% for 'NO', the outlook remains ambiguous. The Pulse AI also reflects this uncertainty, indicating a slight lean towards 'NO'.

• 1 Market probability is almost evenly split, indicating high uncertainty.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slight preference for 'NO', suggesting cautious sentiment.
• 3 Edge of -3 indicates the market is fairly priced with no clear advantage.
• 4 Confidence level of 45/100 reflects significant ambiguity in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential market shifts.