By the end of the Ukraine war Crimea will be a part of Ukraine again?

Low market probability suggests Crimea will not return to Ukraine by war's end.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that Crimea will remain under Russian control, with a 90.7% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar outlook, though slightly more optimistic about the possibility of Crimea returning to Ukraine.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors the status quo in Crimea.
• 2 The disparity between market and AI probabilities suggests some uncertainty.
• 3 Historical trends show difficulty in changing territorial control post-conflict.
• 4 Liquidity in this market may affect price stability and shifts.
• 5 Time until expiry allows for potential geopolitical changes impacting outcomes.