Carried Interest Repeal by End of 2026

The market indicates a low probability for the repeal of carried interest by 2026.

With a market probability of 10.32% for a repeal and a Pulse AI probability of 13.32%, the consensus leans heavily towards a 'NO' outcome. The edge of 3 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a moderate level of confidence at 55 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment is predominantly against repeal.
• 2 Key factors include political climate and legislative priorities.
• 3 Historical base rates suggest low likelihood for such tax changes.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable with no significant fluctuations.
• 5 Time pressure is moderate with over 7000 hours until expiry.