Conditional on Twitter/X still existing, will Elon Musk be in control of it at EOY 2026?

High probability that Elon Musk will control Twitter/X at the end of 2026.

The market indicates a strong belief, with an 89.20% probability, that Elon Musk will remain in control of Twitter/X by the end of 2026. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with slightly lower confidence. However, the edge of -5 suggests that there is insufficient data to make a confident assessment.

• 1 Current sentiment strongly favors Musk's continued control.
• 2 Market probability shows a significant consensus on this outcome.
• 3 The Pulse AI probability aligns closely but is slightly lower.
• 4 The edge indicates uncertainty in the data supporting these probabilities.
• 5 Time until expiry is substantial, allowing for potential developments.