Markets / Geopolitics / DLA awards tungsten stockpile purchase contract by Jun 30, 2...
Manifold Geopolitics Expires in 21 days OPEN

DLA awards tungsten stockpile purchase contract by Jun 30, 2026 following 2025 RFI?

61.33%
Market YES
38.67%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
TOO CLOSE
Verdict
50.33%
AI YES
50
Confidence
35
Reliability
Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: -11 pts

Market shows a slight favor for DLA awarding the tungsten contract by June 2026.

The prediction market indicates a 61.33% probability for the DLA to award a tungsten stockpile purchase contract by June 30, 2026, following a 2025 RFI. However, the Pulse AI probability is nearly evenly split, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome. The edge of -11 indicates insufficient data for a confident assessment.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment leans towards a YES outcome.
  • 2 The probability gap indicates significant uncertainty in the market.
  • 3 Historical data on similar contracts may influence future probabilities.
  • 4 Liquidity appears moderate, affecting the stability of odds.
  • 5 Time pressure is increasing with 2517 hours until expiry.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Release of new information regarding the 2025 RFI
Changes in geopolitical factors affecting tungsten supply
Shifts in DLA procurement strategy or budget allocations
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $478
Liquidity $0
Resolves 30 Jun 2026
Status Open
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