Does Elon Musk already have a CRISPR baby?

Market YES

94%

Market NO

Trade on Manifold →

Pulse Score

Model v1 · Not financial advice

Verdict

11%

AI YES

Confidence

Reliability

Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: +5 pts

The market strongly favors that Elon Musk does not have a CRISPR baby.

Current market probabilities indicate a 94% likelihood that Elon Musk does not have a CRISPR baby, with a much lower 6% chance for 'yes'. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability for 'yes' at 11%, but overall confidence remains low due to insufficient data.

AI Market Analysis

1 Market sentiment heavily leans towards 'NO' at 94%.
2 Pulse AI shows a higher probability for 'YES' at 11%.
3 Confidence level is low at 40 out of 100, indicating uncertainty.
4 Edge of 5 suggests insufficient data for a confident assessment.
5 Time to expiry is significant at over 78,000 hours, allowing for potential developments.