Est ce que Macron démissionnera en 2026

The market suggests a high likelihood that Macron will not resign in 2026.

Current market probabilities indicate a strong belief that President Macron will remain in office until at least 2026, with a 97.51% chance of no resignation. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with a slightly higher probability for resignation at 5.49%. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 55 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors 'NO' at 97.51%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance of resignation at 5.49%.
• 3 The edge of 3 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 55 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry is relatively short at 279 hours.