Markets / Other / Free Lottery (actin filament)...
Manifold Other Expires today OPEN

Free Lottery (actin filament)

5.45%
Market YES
94.55%
Market NO
Trade on Manifold →
Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
NO
Verdict
8.95%
AI YES
55
Confidence
35
Reliability
Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: +3.5 pts

The market shows a strong preference for 'NO' regarding the free lottery outcome.

Current market probabilities indicate a significant lean towards 'NO' at 94.55%, with a lower probability of 'YES' at 5.45%. The Pulse AI also reflects this trend, albeit with slightly higher 'YES' probabilities, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Market heavily favors 'NO' outcome with 94.55% probability.
  • 2 Pulse AI shows a slightly higher 'YES' probability at 8.95%.
  • 3 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100, indicating uncertainty.
  • 4 Edge of 3.5 suggests insufficient data for a confident assessment.
  • 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding to the unpredictability.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
New information about lottery mechanics or rules
Changes in participant sentiment or engagement
External events impacting the lottery's relevance
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $65
Liquidity $0
Resolves 18 Mar 2026
Status Open
Related Markets
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?...
3.85% NO polymarket
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?...
0.05% NO polymarket
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?...
0.15% NO polymarket
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?...
99.95% YES polymarket
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?...
99.95% YES polymarket