Geopolitical Risk (GPR) index ≥ 600 in 2026

The market suggests a lower likelihood of the GPR index reaching 600 by 2026.

With a market probability of 39.14% for the GPR index to reach 600, the sentiment leans towards a NO outcome. The Pulse AI probability also reflects a similar trend, indicating cautious expectations regarding geopolitical risks over the next few years.

• 1 Current sentiment favors a NO outcome for GPR index ≥ 600.
• 2 Market shows a slight edge towards the NO side with a 5-point difference.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 50/100, indicating uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial at 7035 hours, allowing for potential shifts.
• 5 Insufficient data limits the ability to make a confident assessment.