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Manifold Geopolitics Expires in 3017 days OPEN

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force? [Metaculus]

65.65%

Market YES

34.35%

Market NO

Pulse Score

Model v1 · Not financial advice

TOO CLOSE

Verdict

54.65%

AI YES

Confidence

Reliability

Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: -11 pts

Pulse verdict: uncertain — confidence 40/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

AI Market Analysis

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Price History

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Market Info

Platform Manifold

Volume $120

Liquidity $0

Resolves 31 Dec 2034

Status Open