If Khamenei is forcibly removed from power, will the Islamic regime survive?

The market leans towards the regime surviving if Khamenei is removed.

Currently, there is a 59.02% probability that the Islamic regime will survive if Khamenei is forcibly removed from power. The market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of -3, indicating that the probabilities align closely with the AI's assessment. Confidence in this prediction is moderate at 45 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability indicates a majority belief in regime survival.
• 2 AI probability is slightly lower, suggesting some uncertainty.
• 3 The confidence level reflects moderate uncertainty in the outcome.
• 4 Market pricing shows little discrepancy, indicating stability in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is extensive, allowing for potential developments.