Iran Government falls before end of March 2026

Low market probability suggests stability in the Iranian government until March 2026.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that the Iranian government will remain in power until at least the end of March 2026, with a low probability of 5.47% for a fall. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, estimating a 10.47% chance of government collapse. This suggests a consensus on the current stability of the regime amidst geopolitical factors.

• 1 Current market sentiment is heavily leaning towards government stability.
• 2 The market probability is closely aligned with the Pulse AI's assessment.
• 3 Historical trends indicate a low frequency of government changes in Iran.
• 4 Liquidity in this market appears moderate, reflecting cautious investor interest.
• 5 Time pressure is minimal, with 437 hours remaining until the expiry date.