Markets / Other / Larry Ellison acquires TikTok US by Mar 31?...
Manifold Other Expires today OPEN

Larry Ellison acquires TikTok US by Mar 31?

1.1%
Market YES
98.9%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
NO
Verdict
4.1%
AI YES
55
Confidence
45
Reliability
Market appears fairly priced Edge: +3 pts

Low probability of Larry Ellison acquiring TikTok US by March 31.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against the acquisition, with a 98.9% probability of NO. The Pulse AI also reflects skepticism, with a 95.9% probability of NO, indicating that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge towards the NO outcome.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
  • 2 The probability of YES is significantly lower than the AI's assessment.
  • 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.
  • 4 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100, indicating some uncertainty.
  • 5 Time to expiry is 493 hours, allowing for potential developments.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Announcement of negotiations between Ellison and TikTok
Regulatory changes affecting TikTok's operations in the US
Significant shifts in public or investor sentiment towards TikTok
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $16,923
Liquidity $0
Resolves 31 Mar 2026
Status Open
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