Lunar Gateway first occupied by a crew before 1/1/2029?

Low probability for Lunar Gateway being occupied by a crew before 2029.

The market indicates a strong consensus against the Lunar Gateway being occupied by a crew before January 1, 2029, with a 98.08% NO probability. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance of 6.92% for a YES outcome, but overall confidence remains low at 40 out of 100, indicating uncertainty in the predictions.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Market probability shows significant skepticism about crewed missions.
• 3 Historical data suggests low likelihood of early crewed lunar missions.
• 4 Liquidity in the market is limited, impacting confidence levels.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential developments.