Markets / Other / [Metaculus] Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscit...

Manifold Other Expires in 26884 days OPEN

[Metaculus] Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?

31.5%

Market YES

68.5%

Market NO

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Pulse Score

Model v1 · Not financial advice

Verdict

36.5%

AI YES

Confidence

Reliability

Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: +5 pts

The market favors a NO outcome for resuscitation before 2100.

Current market probabilities indicate a 31.5% chance of resuscitation, with a stronger NO sentiment at 68.5%. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 36.5%, but overall confidence remains low at 40/100 due to insufficient data.

AI Market Analysis

1 Market sentiment leans heavily towards NO resuscitation before 2100.
2 Pulse AI shows a marginally higher probability for YES compared to the market.
3 Confidence level is low, indicating uncertainty in predictions.
4 Time to expiry is extensive, allowing for potential developments.
5 Insufficient data is a key factor in the current edge assessment.