[SCOTUS] Obergefell v. Hodges overturned by EOY 2026

2.56%

Market YES

97.44%

Market NO

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Pulse Score

Model v1 · Not financial advice

Verdict

5.56%

AI YES

Confidence

Reliability

Market appears fairly priced Edge: +3 pts

Low probability of Obergefell v. Hodges being overturned by 2026.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against the overturning of Obergefell v. Hodges, with a 97.44% probability for 'NO.' The Pulse AI model also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge towards the 'NO' outcome.

AI Market Analysis

1 Current market sentiment heavily favors the preservation of Obergefell v. Hodges.
2 The probability of overturning is low, indicating strong legal precedents.
3 Historical trends show stability in marriage equality rulings.
4 Market liquidity appears adequate, supporting current pricing.
5 Time until expiry suggests limited immediate pressure on outcomes.