Markets / Geopolitics / Ukraine will successfully hit Russian Black Sea export termi...

Manifold Geopolitics Expires today OPEN

Ukraine will successfully hit Russian Black Sea export terminals in Crimea within a month

34%

Market YES

66%

Market NO

Pulse Score

Model v1 · Not financial advice

Verdict

41%

AI YES

Confidence

Reliability

Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: +7 pts

Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

AI Market Analysis

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Price History

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Market Info

Platform Manifold

Volume $134

Liquidity $0

Resolves 01 May 2026

Status Open