USA x Iran ceasefire by end of march 31?

Market shows low probability for a USA-Iran ceasefire by March 31.

The prediction market indicates a 23.38% chance of a ceasefire between the USA and Iran by the end of March 31, with a stronger consensus against it at 76.62%. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 28.38%, but overall confidence remains moderate at 55 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards a NO outcome.
• 2 The probability gap between market and AI predictions is relatively narrow.
• 3 The market appears fairly priced with an edge of 5.
• 4 Time to expiry is limited, with only 510 hours remaining.
• 5 Confidence level suggests moderate uncertainty in the predictions.