Will the US-Iran war be over by April 23rd?

The market suggests a low probability of the US-Iran war ending by April 23rd.

Current market probabilities indicate a 25.53% chance of the US-Iran war concluding by April 23rd, with a stronger consensus against this outcome at 74.47%. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with slightly higher probabilities for a resolution. The confidence level is moderate, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.

• 1 Market shows a clear preference for the war continuing beyond April 23rd.
• 2 Pulse AI probabilities are higher than market probabilities, indicating differing sentiment.
• 3 The edge of 7 suggests insufficient data for a confident assessment of the situation.
• 4 Confidence level of 55/100 reflects moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is relatively short at 687 hours, increasing urgency in the market.