Will 10% of Americans identify as LGBT before the end of 2026, according to Gallup?

Market suggests low likelihood of 10% LGBT identification by 2026.

The prediction market indicates a 30.77% probability for 10% of Americans identifying as LGBT by the end of 2026, with a stronger consensus on the NO side at 69.23%. The Pulse AI offers a slightly higher YES probability at 33.77%, suggesting a modest divergence in sentiment. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards NO at 69.23%.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slightly more optimistic view with YES at 33.77%.
• 3 The market is considered fairly priced with an edge of 3.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60 out of 100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is significant at 8224 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.