Markets / Other / Will 100k new apartments be constructed in Berlin between en...

Manifold Other Expires today OPEN

Will 100k new apartments be constructed in Berlin between end of 2021 and end of 2026?

8.61%

Market YES

91.39%

Market NO

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Pulse Score

Model v1 · Not financial advice

Verdict

13.61%

AI YES

Confidence

Reliability

Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: +5 pts

Low probability of 100k new apartments being built in Berlin by 2026.

The market shows a strong inclination towards the 'NO' outcome, with only 8.61% probability for 'YES'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating skepticism about the construction of 100k new apartments in Berlin within the specified timeframe.

AI Market Analysis

1 Current market sentiment heavily favors the 'NO' outcome.
2 The probability gap between YES and NO suggests low confidence in construction plans.
3 Historical data on apartment construction rates in Berlin may influence perceptions.
4 Market liquidity appears limited, impacting the ability to shift probabilities.
5 Time pressure is moderate, with 1656 hours until market expiry.