Will a conscious computer be built before 2030?

The market shows a low probability for a conscious computer being built before 2030.

Current market probabilities indicate a strong skepticism regarding the development of conscious computers by 2030, with a majority favoring 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment but with slightly higher optimism, suggesting ongoing debate and uncertainty in the field.

• 1 Current market probability for 'YES' is 20.76%, indicating low confidence.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 25.76% for a conscious computer by 2030.
• 3 The edge of 5 indicates insufficient data for a confident assessment.
• 4 Confidence level at 45/100 reflects uncertainty in the market's predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 33140 hours, allowing for potential developments.