Will a human set foot on the moon again via Artemis 3 or another mission before Pi Day 2026? (March 14th)

Low probability for a human moon landing by March 2026.

The prediction market indicates a very low likelihood of a human landing on the moon again before Pi Day 2026, with a consensus probability of just 1.02% for 'YES'. The Pulse AI offers a slightly higher probability of 4.02%, but overall sentiment leans heavily towards 'NO', suggesting skepticism about the timeline for Artemis 3 or similar missions.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against a moon landing by the deadline.
• 2 The market appears fairly priced with a small edge of 3.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, with only 92 hours remaining.
• 5 Historical trends show delays in space missions, impacting probabilities.