Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster at chess by EOY 2035?

There's a 69% chance a language model will beat a super grandmaster in chess by 2035.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief, at 69%, that a large language model will outperform a super grandmaster in chess by the end of 2035. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 66%, suggesting a consensus on the potential of AI advancements in chess. The market is currently viewed as fairly priced, with a confidence level of 50 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability shows strong confidence in AI capabilities.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is slightly lower, indicating some uncertainty.
• 3 The edge of -3 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential developments.
• 5 Current sentiment leans towards optimism for AI advancements.