Will Ali Larijani succeed Khamenei as the supreme leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran?

Low market probability suggests Larijani is unlikely to succeed Khamenei.

The prediction market indicates a strong consensus against Ali Larijani succeeding Khamenei, with a market probability of only 1% for a YES outcome. The Pulse AI further supports this view, estimating a 6% chance for YES, reflecting skepticism about Larijani's prospects in the current political landscape of Iran.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors NO at 99%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market, indicating low confidence in Larijani's chances.
• 3 The edge of 5 suggests the market is fairly priced without significant mispricing.
• 4 Confidence level of 55/100 indicates moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry of 509 hours allows for potential developments impacting the outcome.