Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?

The market indicates a low probability of solving all Millennium prize problems by 2040.

With a market probability of 27.70% for a YES outcome, the consensus leans towards NO at 72.3%. The Pulse AI probability slightly favors YES at 30.7%, suggesting some uncertainty but overall skepticism about solving these complex problems within the given timeframe.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors a NO outcome significantly.
• 2 The probability gap indicates skepticism about rapid advancements in mathematics.
• 3 Historical trends show that many complex problems remain unsolved for decades.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting a balanced view among participants.
• 5 Time pressure is substantial with over 121,000 hours until the deadline.