Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026

Low probability of America declaring war on Iran before 2026.

The current market probability indicates an 84% likelihood that America will not declare war on Iran before the end of 2026. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 21% for a declaration of war, but overall confidence remains moderate at 60 out of 100. With a time to expiry of nearly 290 days, market sentiment appears stable and fairly priced.

• 1 Market probability shows a strong consensus against war.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher risk perception.
• 3 Confidence level suggests moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry allows for potential geopolitical developments.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a low edge of 5.