Will any active city of at least 100,000 people be destroyed by a nuclear bomb before 2035?

Low probability of a nuclear bomb destroying a city by 2035.

The prediction market indicates an 18.37% chance of a nuclear bomb destroying an active city of at least 100,000 people before 2035, with a stronger consensus on the 'NO' side at 81.63%. The Pulse AI probability suggests a slightly higher chance for 'YES' at 23.37%, indicating some divergence in sentiment but overall agreement on low risk.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors the 'NO' outcome.
• 2 The market probability aligns closely with the Pulse AI assessment.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate, indicating uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential geopolitical developments.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a small edge of 5.