Will any model pass an "undergrad proofs exam" Turing test by 2027?

High probability suggests confidence in models passing the exam Turing test by 2027.

The market shows a strong belief, with a 76.54% probability, that a model will pass an undergrad proofs exam Turing test by 2027. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, indicating a consensus on the potential for advancements in AI capabilities. The edge of -3 suggests that the market is fairly priced at this time.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly positive towards AI advancements.
• 2 The probability indicates strong confidence in upcoming AI developments.
• 3 Historical trends show increasing model capabilities in reasoning tasks.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, supporting the current market pricing.
• 5 Time pressure is moderate with 6950 hours until expiry.