Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2026?

The market suggests a low likelihood of nuclear weapons being detonated in 2026.

Current market probabilities indicate a 10.21% chance of a nuclear weapon detonation in 2026, with a stronger consensus against it at 89.79%. The Pulse AI model predicts a slightly higher probability of 15.21%, suggesting some uncertainty in the geopolitical landscape.

• 1 Market probability shows a strong preference for 'NO' at 89.79%.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher risk perception at 15.21%.
• 3 The edge of 5 suggests the market is fairly priced with low volatility.
• 4 Confidence level of 55/100 reflects moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry of 7100 hours allows for potential shifts in geopolitical dynamics.