Will Australia become a republic by 2030?

The market indicates a low probability of Australia becoming a republic by 2030.

Current market probabilities show a strong consensus against Australia transitioning to a republic by 2030, with a 95.33% likelihood of a 'NO' outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with slightly higher probabilities for a 'YES' outcome. This suggests a stable outlook with minimal expected changes in sentiment at this time.

• 1 Market probability for 'YES' is low at 4.67%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 7.67%.
• 3 The market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 50 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at over 33143 hours.