Will China officially acknowledge its new sixth-gen tailless stealth fighter prototypes (J-36 / J-50) before 2027

China's acknowledgment of new stealth fighter prototypes is highly uncertain.

The market shows a nearly even split in probabilities regarding China's official acknowledgment of its sixth-generation stealth fighter prototypes before 2027. With a confidence level of 55 out of 100 and an edge of -1, the data suggests insufficient clarity on the likelihood of this event occurring. The time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential developments that could influence market sentiment.

• 1 Current market sentiment is closely divided, indicating uncertainty.
• 2 The slight edge towards 'NO' reflects skepticism about official acknowledgment.
• 3 Historical patterns show that military developments often remain undisclosed for extended periods.
• 4 Liquidity appears moderate, suggesting cautious participation from traders.
• 5 The long time frame allows for significant developments that could impact probabilities.