Will Crude oil supply impact due to Persian Gulf military conflict exceed 10 million barrels/day on May 31, 2026?

Market shows mixed views on crude oil supply impact from potential Persian Gulf conflict.

The market indicates a higher probability for a significant impact on crude oil supply due to a potential military conflict in the Persian Gulf, with a 58.49% chance of exceeding 10 million barrels/day. However, the Pulse AI suggests a more cautious outlook, estimating only a 47.49% probability for the same outcome. This divergence reflects uncertainty in geopolitical developments and their potential economic ramifications.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans towards a significant supply impact.
• 2 Divergence between market probability and AI prediction indicates uncertainty.
• 3 Insufficient data results in a low confidence score of 50/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential geopolitical developments.
• 5 Market edge of -11 suggests a lack of clear direction in predictions.