Will Eliezer believe in mankind's survival again?

Market shows a slight lean towards Eliezer believing in mankind's survival again.

The market probability indicates a 55.18% chance that Eliezer will regain belief in mankind's survival, while the AI model suggests a slightly lower probability of 52.18%. With a confidence level of 45/100 and a time to expiry of over 111,000 hours, the market appears to be fairly priced with a minimal edge.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors a belief in mankind's survival.
• 2 AI probability closely aligns with market estimates, indicating consensus.
• 3 Confidence level suggests uncertainty in Eliezer's future beliefs.
• 4 Long time to expiry allows for potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 Market edge of -3 indicates fair pricing without significant bias.