Will Extropic AI build thermodynamic computing hardware that runs an AI model faster/cheaper than GPU by 2030?

Market leans towards NO on Extropic AI achieving thermodynamic computing by 2030.

The prediction market indicates a 64.82% probability that Extropic AI will not develop thermodynamic computing hardware that outperforms GPUs by 2030. This aligns with the Pulse verdict, which also suggests skepticism regarding the feasibility of such advancements in the given timeframe. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 50 out of 100.

• 1 Current market probability favors NO at 64.82%.
• 2 Pulse AI shows slightly higher optimism at YES 40.18%.
• 3 Market confidence is moderate at 50/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential developments.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 5.