Will Google stick to the same red lines as Anthropic for the US military by EOY 2026?

Market leans towards Google not aligning with Anthropic's military red lines by 2026.

The prediction market indicates a higher probability that Google will not adhere to the same red lines as Anthropic regarding military involvement by the end of 2026. With a market probability of 56% for 'NO', sentiment suggests skepticism about Google's commitment to these ethical boundaries. The confidence level is moderate, reflecting uncertainty in the data available.

• 1 Current sentiment favors a 'NO' outcome regarding Google's military red lines.
• 2 Market probability shows a slight edge against Google's alignment with Anthropic.
• 3 The confidence level of 55 indicates moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 Insufficient data (-1 edge) suggests caution in interpreting market signals.